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Ben Hawkins - Crash game analyst and probability specialist

Ben Hawkins

Crash Game Analyst & Probability Specialist

Mathematics graduate with a deep fascination for probability theory and its real-world applications. Three years of dedicated crash game research have shaped Chicken Road New Zealand into a resource Kiwi players can rely on for honest, numbers-driven analysis.

Background

I came to crash game analysis through a somewhat unconventional route. After completing my mathematics degree with a focus on probability and stochastic processes, I spent time tutoring and writing about mathematical concepts for a general audience. I found genuine satisfaction in making complex ideas accessible — turning abstract formulas into something people could actually use.

Chicken Road caught my eye in late 2022, not because of the hype around crash games, but because of the underlying structure. A 98% RTP, a transparent multiplier curve, and — critically — a decision point where the player chooses when to exit. That last element fascinated me. Unlike purely random outcomes, the cashout mechanic introduces a behavioural dimension that sits right at the intersection of probability theory and human psychology. I started logging sessions, modelling outcomes, and writing up my findings. What began as a side project quickly grew into a full commitment.

What I Do on This Portal

At Chicken Road New Zealand, I handle all the analytical content — from introductory explainers for players encountering crash games for the first time, through to in-depth explorations of progressive staking systems, auto-cashout optimisation, and variance management across extended sessions.

When it comes to casino reviews, I take a hands-on approach. I register, deposit, play multiple sessions, and assess what actually matters to Kiwi players: how quickly withdrawals process, whether stake limits match advertised figures, how smoothly Chicken Road runs on the platform, and whether the operator's licensing and player protection measures stand up to scrutiny. I won't recommend a platform I haven't personally tested.

350+ Test Hours
10+ Casinos Tested
3 Years Experience
8 Published Strategies

My Methodology

I firmly believe that no strategy can overcome the house edge in the long run — and anyone who tells you otherwise is selling something. What careful analysis can do, however, is help you understand the odds you're facing, manage your bankroll more intelligently, and avoid the cognitive traps that lead to reckless play.

Every strategy I publish goes through a structured process: hypothesis, controlled testing across a meaningful sample size, statistical analysis, and honest reporting of outcomes — including the drawdowns and the sessions that went sideways. I present success rates alongside failure rates, expected variance alongside best-case scenarios. If a popular approach doesn't hold up when I run the numbers, I say so plainly. Rigour matters more than telling people what they want to hear.

Responsible Gambling

Understanding probability doesn't make gambling safe — it simply makes the risks clearer. Chicken Road is a game of chance, and losing is a normal part of the experience. On this portal, you will always find straightforward warnings about the realities of gambling, the boundaries of every strategy, and the support available in New Zealand.

If gambling is causing you stress or financial difficulty, please reach out to the Gambling Helpline NZ on 0800 654 655 (free, available 24/7) or visit gamblinghelpline.co.nz for online support.

Got a question about the analysis, spotted an error, or want to discuss methodology? Get in touch.